Showing posts with label No Nukes Is Good Nukes. Show all posts
Showing posts with label No Nukes Is Good Nukes. Show all posts

Monday, April 23, 2012

Fukushima Foul Up


http://www.aljazeera.com/news/asia-pacific/2012/04/2012423133539728838.html


Over a year after the nuclear accident triggered by a massive earthquake and tsunami contaminated large swathes of land in northeastern Japan, the future of the largely agricultural area and those who have been evacuated from it remain uncertain.


The Asahi Shimbun newspaper reported on Monday that residents will not be able to return to at least seven of the municipalities around the damaged Daiichi nuclear plant in Fukushima for at least five years.


According to a government report released on Sunday, it is estimated that six of the seven municipalities will have dangerous levels of radiation - above 20 millisieverts of radiation (mSv) per year - for a decade.

[Break]

You think that has anything with Fukushima daiichi exploding during the accident? Oh, wait, that was only "hydrogen gas"  Nothing to worry about good citizen, those glow-in-the-dark radishes are nothing to worry about.


Sunday, December 4, 2011

How To Blunder Into A Pointless War.


Drone 'shot down' in Iran may belong to US.


http://www.aljazeera.com/news/asia/2011/12/2011124185143288993.html

A surveillance drone flying over western Afghanistan had gone out of control late last week and may be the one Iran said it had shot down over its own airspace, the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) has said.


"The UAV to which the Iranians are referring may be a US unarmed reconnaissance aircraft that had been flying a mission over western Afghanistan late last week. The operators of the UAV lost control of the aircraft and had been working to determine its status," an ISAF statement said on Sunday.


The statement was issued in Kabul and released to reporters covering an international conference on Afghanistan in the German city Bonn.
 ....

Fars reported that the drone had been brought down through a combined effort by Iran's armed forces, air defence forces and its electronic warfare unit after the plane briefly violated the country's airspace at its eastern border.

The drone "was downed with slight damage. It is now under the control of our forces," Fars reported, quoting an unnamed military source.


The source warned that Iran's armed response would "not be limited to our country's borders" for the "blatant territorial violation".


Trita Parsi, president of the National Iranian American Council, told Al Jazeera that Iran has made similar claims even as recently as July.


"It could be quite feasible but we don’t know yet. What we do know is that in the absence of any diplomatic channels incidents like this can have tremendous repercussions, far greater then when there were some de-escalatory mechanisms in place between the United States and Iran."


In January, Iran also announced that its forces had downed two US drones after they violated Iranian-controlled airspace.

Snip

Even if you take the US explanation at face value, which may not be a very bright idea, this is exactly the kind of cock-up that can get you in a war you do not want. 

The Iranians are already paranoid as it is, an incident like this could easily drive them right off the cliff.  There is no public way, or even a standard back channel way, for the US to calm Iranian frazzled nerves. Maybe some there are some ad hoc mechanisms that can be used, some friend of a friend telegraphing that can occur; but nothing official.  The Iranians could easily misconstrue what was an honest error by the US military.

But this is the Near East boys and girls; and I have my doubts the US was entirely innocent. While the main mission of the drones is to gather intelligence in Afghanistan, it is not all that hard to believe that a little moonlighting might be going on. Perhaps a whole bunch of moonlighting is going on. The US could be deliberately sending up these drones to test Iranian Air Defenses. The US could have been attempting to do other cloak and dagger nonsense when the drone did actually go haywire.

I just do not trust the NeoCon lite Administration of Barack Hussain Obama to show any restraint in this regard. As Team Obama has continued and expanded the interventionist policies  of the Bushite regime, it is entirely possible that Obama and friends are playing servant to the fevered dreams of Bibi Netanyahu. The Israeli tail may be wagging the dog of US policy yet again.

Iran has a pretty good idea where a conventional attack from the US or Israel may come. The easiest route, the one that needs no mother-may-I from Syria or Jordan, is from the sea. The US could aid this via the aircraft carriers it possesses, and maybe a look away from Saudi Arabia. ( Gee we did not know those B-52s, B1Bs, B2s, and fighter jets were going to Iran, boy were we fooled; honest.) What Iran may not be as prepared for is a sucker punch from Afghanistan. It is not like Afghanistan can do anything to prevent such an action. Sovereignty is a cruel joke for the Afghanis. The US could stockpile all sorts of fun things that go boom in the night, and there is nothing the fictitious central government of Afghanistan could do about it.

Pakistan might be a problem, but Asif Ali Zardari,the leader of Pakistan, is not above a bribe the way the ocean is not above the sky. The recent killing of 24 Pakistani troops by the US air forces has made this a delicate negotiation, and thereby raised the price of Pakistani compliance. Still, down the road, “Mr. Ten Per Cent” can be brought into the fold. With Iran out of the picture Pakistan can gain even more sub rosa control of Afghanistan. That would be fine by both Pakistan and China as the Pashtuns can be used as cats paws against their fellow adversary, India.

A US strike at Iran via Afghanistan is possible. The US is publicly keeping all its options open and Iran is well aware of what that means. They would be careless fools if they did not consider the Afghanistan option. One things the theocrats in Tehran are not, is careless fools. Maybe they are being overly paranoid about US intentions, but then again maybe not. It would be nice if we could discuss this with them in a rational manner, but US policy viz. Iran has not been rational since at least Carter, if not before. And with the US election cycle upon us, there will be no opening to Iran until perhaps this time next year at best. That is whole year for the US to get further in trouble; October surprise anyone?

Sunday, October 30, 2011

Glow In The Dark Sushi.

Fukushima May Have Dumped Twice As Much Radiation as Previously Thought:

'via Blog this'


That's right,doublewhat Japanese authorities originally estimated. That's a lot of cesium-137 to miss, so where did it all disappear to?

Out to sea, apparently. A study recently completed by Andreas Stohl of the Norwegian Institute for Air Research pegs the total amount of cesium-137 released at 36,000 terabecquerels through April 20 compared to the 15,000 terabecquerels the Japanese government reported. Stohl's report asserts that the government only gathered data from terrestrial sensors and failed to account for the radiation blown off-shore.

The estimate of much higher levels of radioactive cesium-137 comes from a worldwide network of sensors. Study author Andreas Stohl of the Norwegian Institute for Air Research says the Japanese government estimate came only from data in Japan, and that would have missed emissions blown out to sea.

The study did not consider health implications of the radiation. Cesium-137 is dangerous because it can last for decades in the environment, releasing cancer-causing radiation.

Snip

Once again the cover up is turning out to worse than the disaster itself. Fukushima is a mess. A dead Nuclear Power site and a contamination zone much worse than first admitted. And now the seas around Fukushima are poisoned for perhaps a decade. Japan's whole culture is wrapped around the bounties of the sea. To have an entire section of their ocean a no-go zone has to be a gut punch for the Japanese. It just does not seem that the capitalist economy can handle nuclear power. The attempt to squeeze the last bit of profit out of these expensive nuclear plants sooner or later causes bad decisions to be made.

The whole reason Fukushima went with the reactor design it built is because GE advertised it as a less expensive alternative to other plants. The operators then ran the plant longer than it should have been in a seismically dicy landscape. Fukushima might have survived the hit from the earthquake when it was first build, but it did not have a prayer in its aged and weakened condition. Fukushima was still on line because there was still money to be made from the elderly facility.

None of these cautionary tales seem to affect the Obama Administration from pushing nuclear energy as part of the post fossil fuel matrix. Obama is bullish on nuclear as are many in Congress. The decades long love affair for the big, overpriced and dangerous nuclear power plant is head scratcher. Why do so many politicos love these ungainly things? Despite every nerve-wracking oops of big nuclear power, the elites just keep doubling down. Nuclear power plants get bigger, more expensive,and harder to manage. Plus there is non-trivial problem of what to do with all the highly radioactive waste when the plants close down. No solution in the US is forthcoming; the supposed solution of Yucca Mountain lies twitching in its last death throws. There is no plan B.

The worst thing about Fukushima is that it was all so predictable. There seems to be a unwarranted sloppiness about how we handel nuclear power, an inability to understand how much the whole affair balances on a knife's edge. As much as the common people and Greenpeace bang on about the whole affair needing a rethink; the power elites just plow on. What will it take for these men to reconsider? Nuke power just poisoned a stretch of the Pacific Ocean and create a dead zone in a land were real estate comes at a premium, what else need to go horribly wrong?

Monday, April 4, 2011

Saran Wrapping The Japan Nuke Plants?

Japan mulls huge sheet for nuclear plant.

http://english.aljazeera.net//news/asia-pacific/2011/04/20114454422691143.html

Japan's government has asked the operator of the stricken Fukushima nuclear plant to consider wrapping a giant sheet around the facility to contain further radioactive leaks.

The proposal calls for building framed structures around the 45-meter-high reactor buildings and then wrapping them with the sheeting, sources told Kyodo news agency on Monday.

If all of the four damaged reactors were wrapped in this manner, it would take up to two months and cost about 80bn yen ($950m), the sources said. It is not clear what kind of material would be used for the sheeting.

Atomic energy experts are sceptical about the feasibility of the plan that was proposed by a general construction firm.

They stress the risk that such sheeting would be torn apart by heat emanating from nuclear reactors, and that it would also hamper restoration work, including the spraying of water onto the reactors.

Snip

I'm not a nuclear engineer, I'm not an engineer, I don't even play an engineer on TV, but this seems one of more hare-brained ideas to come down the pike in long time. The Japanese look like they are grasping at straws to find a fix for Fukushima.